6 common investment strategies of fund managers
The criteria that mutual fund
managers use to select their assets vary widely according to the individual
manager. So when choosing a fund, you should look closely at the manager's
investment style to make sure it fits your risk-reward profile.
"Investment style
is incredibly important because of the way that investing works"
Both risk and return are
connected to style. According to current practice portfolio theory, you can
optimize a blend of styles for diversification, balancing reward and
risk."
Here's a look at a
half-dozen common investment strategies among fund managers.
- Top-down investing
- Bottom-up investing
- Fundamental analysis
- Technical analysis
- Contrarian investing
- Dividend investing
Top-down
or bottom-up investing :
Top-down investing
strategies involve choosing assets based on a big theme
For example, if a fund
manager anticipates that the economy will grow sharply, he or she might buy
stock across the board. Or the manager might just buy stock in
particular economic sectors, such as industrial and high technology, which tend
to outperform when the economy is strong.
If the manager expects
the economy to slump, it may spur him or her to sell stocks or purchase shares
in defensive industries such as health care and consumer staples.
Bottom-up managers
choose stocks based on the strength of an individual company, regardless of
what's happening in the economy as a whole or the sector in which that company
lies.
"The great
advantage of top-down is that you're looking at the forest rather than the
trees," says Mick Heyman, an independent financial adviser in San Diego. That makes screening for
stocks or other investments easier.
And, "When you're
right, you're really right," says Tim Ghriskey, co-founder of Solaris
Asset Management in Bedford Hills, New York.
Of course, managers
might be wrong on their big idea. And even if they're right, that doesn't
guarantee they'll choose the right investments.
"A good example is
gold," says James Holtzman, a shareholder at Legend Financial Advisors
in Pittsburgh. "That would make sense for a top-down investor. But what if
you're looking at a gold-mining stock and the company is being run into the
ground? The particular stock could be ready to collapse, even though INVESTMENT
IN GOLD makes sense."
A bottom-up manager
benefits from thorough research on an individual company, but a market plunge
often pulls even the strongest INVESTMENT down.
Fundamental
or technical analysis :
Fundamental analysis
involves evaluating all the factors that affect an investment's performance.
For a stock, it would mean looking at all of the company's financial
information, and it may also entail meeting with company executives, employees,
suppliers, customers and competitors. "You want to analyze management,
really understand what's driving the company and where growth is coming from,
Technical analysis
involves choosing assets based on prior trading patterns. You're looking
at the trends of an investment's price.
Most managers emphasize
fundamental analysis, because they want to understand what will drive growth.
Investors expect the stock to rise if a company is growing profits, for
example.
But fundamentals don't
always carry the day. "You can have a period of time where the MARKET
moves
on technical’s," Holtzman says.

Heyman sees power in
technical analysis, because he believes an asset's price at any single moment
reflects all the information available about it.
The best managers use
both fundamentals and technicals, he says. "If a stock has good
fundamentals, it should be stable to rising. If it's not rising, the market is
telling you you're wrong or you should be focusing on something else."
Contrarian
investing
Contrarian managers
choose assets that are out of favor. They determine the MARKET'S
consensus
about a company or sector and then bet against it.

The contrarian style is
generally aligned with a value-INVESTING
strategy,
which means buying assets that are undervalued by some statistical measure,

"In the long run,
value has beaten growth in assets around the world, though during certain periods
that's not true, "The contrarian style generally rewards investors, but
you have to choose the right assets at the right time."
The risk, of course, is
that the consensus is right, which results in wrong bets and losses for a
contrarian manager.
Dividend
investing
As the name suggests,
dividend funds buy stocks with a strong record of earnings and dividends.
Because of the stock market volatility
of recent years, many investors like the idea of a fund that offers them a
regular payout.
"Even if the price
goes down, at least you're getting some income," says Russ Kinnel,
director of mutual fund research at Morningstar. "It's a nice way to
supplement income if you're retired."
However, the recent
popularity of dividend stocks causes some market pundits to wonder if they’re currently overvalued.
Also, beware of funds with extremely high yields. That could be a sign that
companies are taking outsized risk and are headed for declines.
Most experts advise
diversifying among INVESTMENT styles. "In the end, a balanced way of
looking at things tends to create fewer errors,"
Mukesh Kapri